Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.430862 3.799063 4.198457 4.665238 5.197521 5.787575 6.493911
2025-07-27 2.951203 3.453448 4.036861 4.769909 5.673752 6.761346 8.183727
2025-08-03 2.631851 3.204735 3.904267 4.832028 6.046402 7.604893 9.794419
2025-08-10 2.389323 3.001927 3.780200 4.858503 6.341202 8.350098 11.352287
2025-08-17 2.137069 2.751479 3.556779 4.712159 6.365622 8.708467 12.396940
2025-08-24 1.959127 2.577509 3.410819 4.644555 6.475734 9.180282 13.652760
2025-08-31 1.823317 2.446118 3.306788 4.618329 6.632095 9.724894 15.086367
2025-09-07 1.754188 2.399928 3.315265 4.751755 7.035882 10.690413 17.351996
2025-09-14 1.651148 2.295717 3.228827 4.729688 7.187832 11.261149 19.018443
2025-09-21 1.553805 2.191935 3.133434 4.682088 7.288430 11.750499 20.606903
2025-09-28 1.427757 2.036535 2.947888 4.473081 7.094817 11.699757 21.145735
2025-10-05 1.369836 1.980504 2.911126 4.502132 7.309941 12.403137 23.298206
2025-10-12 1.326216 1.945169 2.906527 4.588202 7.642061 13.381057 26.245902
2025-10-19 1.288406 1.916377 2.910084 4.688179 8.010520 14.481194 29.700735
2025-10-26 1.245813 1.876856 2.892609 4.748558 8.309733 15.483246 33.152125
2025-11-02 1.200282 1.829468 2.858176 4.774400 8.543252 16.379662 36.551321
2025-11-09 1.128748 1.734975 2.737420 4.631144 8.423920 16.497485 37.979219
2025-11-16 1.075952 1.668863 2.661324 4.564963 8.453825 16.948701 40.400947
2025-11-23 1.033665 1.618179 2.608902 4.539287 8.564672 17.599145 43.537582
2025-11-30 1.018519 1.612926 2.636262 4.669900 9.022347 19.135143 49.685885
2025-12-07 0.981546 1.567763 2.588837 4.648301 9.143781 19.869733 53.582457
2025-12-14 0.943427 1.518663 2.531314 4.601705 9.203892 20.458594 57.178793
2025-12-21 0.885858 1.432555 2.401022 4.397080 8.882319 20.014471 57.166096